Election 2024: Global Info Analytics Predicts ‘Skirt And Blouse’ Voting In NPP Strongholds

An opinion poll by Global Info Analytics carried out in selected constituencies within the Greater Accra Region has revealed the extent of the challenge facing the governing party in what is considered its strongholds, six (6) months before the general election.

The outcome of the poll released on May 31, 2024 indicates that in Okaikwei Central, Okaikwei South, Anyaa Sowutuom and Trobu, where the NPP won by an average of 62% in the 2020 election, it now shows the leading opposition candidate, John Mahama leading in the polls with 40.5%.

“The current vice president and flag bearer of the governing NPP, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia is on 36%, Nana Kwame Bediako, the New Force with 1.8%, Alan Kyeremanten, Movement for Change with 1.7%. 10.4% of voters say they will not vote and 9.4% are undecided,” the poll revealed

In the parliamentary election, Patrick Yaw Boamah leads in Okaikwei Central with 50.5%, Baba Sadiq, 36%, 6.9% of voters do not intend to vote while 7.6% are undecided. Hon. Patrick Boamah won the seat in the 2020 election with nearly 19% margin.

According to Global InfoAnalytics, in Okaikwei South, the incumbent member of parliament’s chances of retaining her seat is hanging by the thread as poll shows the race is tied with Dakoa Newman leading with 40.4%, followed closely by Ernest Adomako, 38.5%. 10.6% are undecided and 10.5% will not vote. In the 2020 election, the incumbent won her race with nearly 22% margin.

“In the Anyaa Sowutuom, Elder Emmanuel Tobin leads the race with 41.8% followed by Emmanuel A. Allotey, NDC, 31.9%, Grace Ashley, Movement for Change, 2.7%, undecided, 10.1% and I will not vote, 13.5%. Hon. Dickson Adomako Kissi, the outgoing member of parliament, won the seat in the 2020 elections with nearly 30% margin,” Global Info Analytics indicated.

The Poll’s outcome shows that in the Trobu constituency, where Gloria Owusu, the NPP parliamentary candidate who ousted Hon. Moses Anim, leads with 44.8%, Dr John Kofi Halm with 36.7%, others, 0.5%, undecided, 5.8% and I will not vote, 12.2%. Hon. Moses Anim won the 2020 elections with nearly 28% margin.

“Analysis of the poll shows that in all the four BLUE constituencies, there is strong evidence from the data to suggest “skirt and blouse voting” tactical voting as all NPP candidates outperform their presidential candidate,” Mussa Dankwa’s outfit revealed.

On the question of voter inducement through projects during the election period, the poll shows that only 28% of voters will vote for the government if they embark of projects just in time for the elections, 64% will not be influenced to vote for the governing party and 5% are indifferent.

Again, on whether the One-Student-One-tablet policy is likely to influence voters in the December election, only 31% said it will influence them to vote for the government, 64% said it will not influence them while 5% were indifferent.